Libertad FC vs América Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
39.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Libertad FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
BON
76%
14%
9%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
CAL
54%
25%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 0
INJ
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
CAL
62%
22%
16%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
GUA
0 - 1
CAL
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
América Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
AME
0 - 0
INS
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
AME
1 - 0
MAN
53%
26%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 2
AME
30%
30%
41%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
IMB
1 - 2
AME
33%
29%
38%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
AME
1 - 1
CHA
57%
25%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |