CA La Paz vs Tepatitlán FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
11º
8º
9
7º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
20 | 30 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
20 | 27 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 26 |
3º
|
29% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 25 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 24 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
10 | 18 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 18 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
8 | 18 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 17 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 16 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 15 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 15 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 13 |
14º
|
28% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 10 |
15º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
20% | 7.5% |
|
Final Series
|
53.5% | 36% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 56.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA La Paz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
ZAC
4 - 0
CAP
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
1 - 0
CAP
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 1
TAM
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
5 - 0
CAP
53%
25%
23%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 1
MER
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Tepatitlán FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TEM
6 - 0
UAT
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
UDG
1 - 0
TEM
77%
16%
8%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
TEM
2 - 1
TOR
19%
27%
55%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CDT
2 - 0
TEM
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TEM
1 - 1
ATL
15%
26%
59%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | +1 |