CA Juventud vs River Plate Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.9%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
86.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
14.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
19.5%
0-4
10.2%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
13%
0-5
5.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
7.1%
0-6
2.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 2
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RIV
2 - 0
PLA
53%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 2
RIV
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 0
RIV
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |