Club Atlético Güemes vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 0
CAG
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
SJO
1 - 1
CAG
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
CON
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
CAG
69%
20%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
CAG
0 - 2
MIT
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MIT
0 - 1
SMA
56%
25%
20%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
SMA
0 - 2
SJO
55%
24%
21%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
SMA
44%
28%
29%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 2
CAG
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2016 |
SMA
2 - 1
MIT
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +2 |