Club Atlético Güemes vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
38.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAG
1 - 2
JAN
25%
27%
49%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 1
CAG
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
JAN
1 - 4
CAG
71%
20%
10%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | +3 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
4 - 0
SMA
28%
24%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +3 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
SMA
4 - 0
CAG
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CIP
2 - 1
SMA
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 0
CIP
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
SMA
0 - 1
GIM
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2015 |
GIM
1 - 2
SMA
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
DFR
2 - 1
SMA
62%
23%
15%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |