Torneo Regional Federal Amateur Final
Global 4-4
Club Atlético Güemes vs San Martín Formosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
48.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
SMA
4 - 0
CAG
74%
16%
10%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
CAG
74%
18%
9%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
2 - 0
SPO
14%
21%
65%
|
28 | 49 | 21 | +6 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
CAG
0 - 0
DES
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
DES
0 - 0
CAG
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
SMA
4 - 0
CAG
74%
16%
10%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SMA
1 - 0
CEN
80%
13%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | -4 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
CEN
0 - 0
SMA
19%
22%
59%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
TAL
0 - 0
SMA
17%
23%
61%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
SMA
2 - 0
TAL
81%
14%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |