Club Atlético Güemes vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
34.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Atlético Güemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
STM
1 - 1
CAG
45%
29%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2021 |
CAG
0 - 0
DAL
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 2
CAG
66%
22%
12%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
CAG
1 - 1
BRO
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
GBR
1 - 2
CAG
49%
28%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 0
ALM
51%
29%
20%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 2
DEF
40%
31%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
ALB
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
STM
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
DAL
0 - 0
DEF
34%
32%
34%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |