Cirbonero vs Peña Sport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
68.8%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
CDA
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
SUB
2 - 2
ATL
49%
23%
28%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 3
OSA
22%
23%
55%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CDC
2 - 1
ATL
24%
25%
51%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peña Sport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CHA
87%
10%
4%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
CAN
0 - 5
PEÑ
10%
18%
72%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
SJU
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CDB
0 - 3
PEÑ
15%
20%
65%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 3
PEÑ
13%
19%
68%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |