Cirbonero vs Oberena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
COR
0 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 1
RIV
72%
17%
12%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
IDO
4 - 2
ATL
18%
24%
58%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
CHA
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CDC
0 - 0
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Oberena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAM
4 - 0
OBE
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
OBE
1 - 2
COR
46%
27%
27%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
RIV
2 - 0
OBE
26%
24%
50%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
OBE
2 - 0
IDO
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 2
OBE
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |