Cirbonero vs Murchante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
CAV
1 - 0
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
HUA
50%
24%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2014 |
SJU
1 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
LAG
62%
21%
17%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
OSA
3 - 0
ATL
83%
12%
5%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
MUR
4 - 0
BUR
42%
27%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ERR
2 - 1
MUR
29%
25%
47%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
3 - 1
COR
26%
27%
47%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 0
MUR
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 2
PAM
37%
27%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |