Tercera Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Cirbonero vs Bergantiños FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
49.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cirbonero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
BET
2 - 2
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
VAL
58%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CDB
2 - 0
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 0
GAR
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 1
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bergantiños FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
BER
0 - 1
ALO
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LAR
1 - 3
BER
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 1
BER
43%
25%
33%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
BER
3 - 2
RIB
75%
17%
9%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
CEL
0 - 2
BER
19%
24%
57%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |