Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 2-1
Club Atlético De Ceuta vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Atlético De Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
CEU
0 - 0
MLL
32%
29%
39%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
CEU
1 - 0
BET
16%
27%
57%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
ALG
1 - 0
CEU
55%
24%
21%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1966 |
VAL
2 - 2
CEU
73%
16%
11%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
CEU
2 - 0
LEV
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
UPL
1 - 1
VAD
38%
29%
33%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1966 |
VAD
3 - 1
SDI
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1966 |
GIM
1 - 0
VAD
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1966 |
VAD
3 - 1
RSO
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
LOG
1 - 0
VAD
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | -1 |