Cerro CA vs Sud América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CER
2 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
JUV
4 - 3
CER
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
CER
0 - 3
PEÑ
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Sud América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 0
PEÑ
20%
25%
54%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 0
SUD
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SUD
2 - 3
REN
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
SUD
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
SUD
1 - 1
JUN
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |