Cerro CA vs Rocha FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
DAN
0 - 0
CER
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
CER
1 - 2
JUN
50%
26%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
UMO
1 - 2
CER
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
CER
2 - 1
JUV
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 2
CER
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 1
ROC
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
DAN
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 1
ROC
44%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
ROC
1 - 2
UMO
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 0
ROC
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |