Cerro CA vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.1%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
2º
10
2º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
38%
28%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CER
1 - 1
NAC
22%
27%
51%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
CER
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
CER
0 - 0
CEL
40%
30%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
PLA
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
LFC
3 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
34%
29%
38%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 2
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 1
PLA
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |