Cerro CA vs Plaza Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
24.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
2º
7º
2º
4
5º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 5 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 2
CER
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CER
1 - 0
LFC
24%
26%
50%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
0 - 1
CER
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
CER
1 - 2
RAC
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
FEN
0 - 0
CER
38%
28%
33%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Plaza Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 2
PLA
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 3
DEP
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
4 - 1
PLA
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PLA
1 - 1
FEN
45%
27%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
PLA
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |