Cerro CA vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
49.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
CEL
0 - 0
CER
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
CER
0 - 2
REN
24%
26%
50%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
TOR
3 - 0
CER
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
PLA
3 - 0
CER
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
CER
2 - 2
PRO
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 4
PEÑ
28%
28%
45%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
BOS
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 0
PEÑ
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
PEÑ
4 - 1
DEP
64%
22%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |