Cerro CA vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
51.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
RAC
1 - 2
CER
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
CER
1 - 1
JUN
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CER
2 - 1
DEF
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CER
1 - 5
CEN
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
DAN
1 - 0
CER
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
LIG
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
BVS
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
GOD
1 - 3
PEÑ
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
IND
3 - 0
PEÑ
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
FEN
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |