Cerro CA vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 1
CER
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CER
2 - 0
JUN
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
MWA
0 - 1
CER
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
TOR
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
CER
58%
23%
20%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 1
FEN
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
DAN
1 - 2
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
ATE
69%
20%
11%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
GAR
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |