Cerro CA vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CER
2 - 3
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CSM
0 - 1
CER
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
ETS
52%
26%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
PEÑ
0 - 1
CER
70%
20%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
CEL
71%
19%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LFC
1 - 0
NAC
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |