Cerro CA vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
40.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CER
1 - 1
MWA
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
CEL
2 - 1
CER
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
REN
26%
26%
49%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
DEP
1 - 0
CER
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
CER
2 - 1
BOS
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CER
1 - 1
MWA
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 2
FEN
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
PRO
3 - 0
MWA
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MWA
1 - 2
PLA
51%
26%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
TOR
2 - 1
MWA
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |