Cerro CA vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
LFC
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 2
CER
47%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
CER
2 - 2
NAC
27%
27%
47%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
JUN
0 - 1
CER
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
CER
2 - 0
JUN
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 4
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
JUN
2 - 3
MWA
34%
27%
39%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 2
MWA
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
MWA
0 - 1
RAC
57%
23%
21%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
LFC
2 - 0
MWA
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |