Cerro CA vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TOR
0 - 0
CER
38%
27%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CER
4 - 2
RIV
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 0
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CER
1 - 2
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ATE
0 - 1
CER
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
RIV
0 - 5
MWA
51%
24%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
MWA
1 - 2
RAC
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
DEF
3 - 0
MWA
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
MWA
3 - 2
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
MWA
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +3 |