Cerro CA vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
3 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CER
2 - 0
DAN
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
CER
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
CER
0 - 0
ETS
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 0
CER
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
MWA
2 - 1
PEÑ
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FEN
2 - 1
MWA
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MWA
3 - 2
REN
64%
21%
16%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
MWA
62%
21%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
MWA
0 - 1
JUN
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |