Cerro CA vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
DEF
21%
26%
52%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
BVS
1 - 0
CER
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CEN
0 - 2
CER
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FEN
3 - 0
CER
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CER
1 - 2
RIV
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
LIB
0 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
LIB
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MWA
1 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
ETS
0 - 0
MWA
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
MWA
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |