Cerro CA vs La Luz FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 2
CER
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CER
1 - 0
ATE
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 1
CER
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
CER
0 - 1
CSY
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 1
CER
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
La Luz FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CSY
1 - 3
LUZ
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 0
JUV
39%
28%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ATE
0 - 1
LUZ
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
LUZ
1 - 0
PRO
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LUZ
3 - 1
VIL
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |