Cerro CA vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
TAC
4 - 0
CER
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CER
1 - 3
JUV
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RAC
4 - 1
CER
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
CER
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LFC
2 - 3
CER
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DEF
0 - 0
PEÑ
33%
25%
42%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
FEN
3 - 4
DEF
40%
26%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 2
REN
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
5 - 2
DEF
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
DEF
1 - 0
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |