Cerro CA vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
1º
7º
4º
14
2º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 0
CER
49%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CER
3 - 0
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
0 - 3
CER
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
CER
3 - 2
RIV
32%
28%
40%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BOS
2 - 0
CER
56%
24%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
2 - 0
JUN
40%
28%
32%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
2 - 2
DAN
43%
28%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
DAN
1 - 1
DEP
42%
29%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 0
DRZ
73%
18%
9%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
55%
24%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |