Cerro CA vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
26.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 0
CER
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
CER
2 - 2
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
CER
1 - 0
PLA
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
DAN
2 - 0
FEN
38%
27%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
DAN
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
DAN
0 - 1
PLA
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2020 |
TOR
1 - 2
DAN
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DAN
1 - 3
RIV
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |