Cerro CA vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
TAC
3 - 3
CER
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
CER
0 - 0
EME
45%
25%
31%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CEL
0 - 1
CER
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
QUI
2 - 1
CER
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 2
JUN
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 2
PEÑ
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 0
DAN
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
DAN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
DAN
1 - 2
FEN
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |