Cerro CA vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
CER
1 - 2
DAN
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CER
1 - 0
ETS
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CEL
1 - 0
CER
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CER
70%
19%
12%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CER
2 - 3
DEF
33%
28%
40%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
DEF
20%
26%
54%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 1
BVS
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
BVS
0 - 1
RIV
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
BVS
3 - 1
JUN
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ETS
1 - 2
BVS
52%
24%
24%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |