A. Caudiel vs Castellnovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
9.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
A. Caudiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 1
NUL
42%
22%
37%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
FAU
2 - 1
CLU
55%
19%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CLU
4 - 1
ALQ
19%
18%
62%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VIV
3 - 2
CLU
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 1
DRC
75%
13%
12%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Castellnovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ALQ
5 - 1
CAS
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 1
VIV
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DRC
2 - 2
CAS
42%
20%
38%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 1
LLO
63%
18%
20%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ABS
2 - 1
CAS
75%
14%
11%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |