Club Africain vs EGS Gafsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
12.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
3º
9
11º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
6º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 41 |
7º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 40 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 35 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 30 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 29 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 27 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 22 |
15º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
64% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
23% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
16% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 34.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 65.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Africain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
JSO
1 - 1
CLU
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
CLU
0 - 0
BEN
55%
26%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
CLU
1 - 0
GAB
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ETO
2 - 2
CLU
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 0
CAB
55%
27%
18%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
EGS Gafsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
ZAR
1 - 0
EGS
63%
23%
14%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
EGS
0 - 0
JSO
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
EGS
2 - 1
BEN
33%
28%
38%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
GAB
0 - 0
EGS
53%
25%
22%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 1
ETO
27%
28%
45%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |