2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
34.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
12º
6º
23
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 1
2DE
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
2DE
3 - 1
TAC
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
2DE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 0
LIB
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 2
CCP
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Ameliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
AME
0 - 2
SPT
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
DRZ
83%
12%
6%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LQE
0 - 0
AME
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
AME
2 - 1
DAN
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
AME
0 - 3
GUA
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |