2 de Mayo vs Rubio Ñu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
28.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2009 |
12O
1 - 0
2DE
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 0
LQE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AME
0 - 1
2DE
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
2DE
5 - 0
TAC
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
2DE
69%
20%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Rubio Ñu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
39%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 2
RÑU
42%
30%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 1
RÑU
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
RÑU
1 - 0
OLI
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |