2 de Mayo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
4º
2º
19
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 41 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
18 | 36 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 34 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 29 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
11% | 12% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 88% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
TAC
0 - 2
2DE
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
CCP
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
AME
0 - 2
2DE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 2
2DE
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPT
39%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TAC
2 - 5
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |