2 de Mayo vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
12º
6º
48
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 2
CCP
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SPT
1 - 2
2DE
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 0
LQE
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
2DE
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
RIV
14%
21%
65%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 0
SPT
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LQE
0 - 3
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
3 - 0
TAC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |