2 de Mayo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
3º
35
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
35 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
2DE
48%
27%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
2DE
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 1
TAC
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 3
2DE
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 2
AME
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIB
0 - 2
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
46%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPT
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
OLI
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |