2 de Mayo vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
12º
6º
31
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
2DE
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 1
JLM
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
AME
0 - 2
2DE
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
2DE
2 - 0
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
2DE
52%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
SPT
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 0
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 1
LQE
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 3
OLI
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |