2 de Mayo vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
2 de Mayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
2DE
0 - 1
GUA
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
2DE
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
2DE
1 - 0
LQE
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
2DE
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
2DE
3 - 0
12O
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
12O
50%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 0
OLI
33%
26%
40%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCP
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |