CSL Benfica vs Lun Lok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
BEN
1 - 0
MCA
64%
17%
19%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HSA
3 - 4
BEN
11%
14%
75%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
0 - 2
CPK
52%
19%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FJH
1 - 2
BEN
8%
11%
81%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 0
UNI
78%
12%
10%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lun Lok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TCK
0 - 6
LUL
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
LUL
1 - 3
CHF
22%
21%
57%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
SMA
1 - 1
LUL
16%
18%
66%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
LUL
55%
20%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUL
3 - 1
MCA
13%
16%
72%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +3 |