CSL Benfica vs April 25 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CSL Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 5
BEN
44%
21%
35%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
APR
8 - 0
BEN
12%
15%
73%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -25 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
PSP
0 - 2
BEN
3%
9%
89%
|
54 | 15 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MCA
0 - 2
BEN
56%
20%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +25 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
HWA
2 - 3
BEN
18%
17%
65%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
April 25
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
APR
8 - 0
BEN
12%
15%
73%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
AIR
1 - 5
APR
23%
19%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +5 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
APR
1 - 0
HWA
75%
15%
11%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
APR
0 - 0
BEN
40%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
APR
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |