Cloppenburg vs Bavenstedt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cloppenburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OSN
1 - 1
CLO
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CLO
5 - 0
VFL
78%
14%
9%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
BSV
2 - 1
CLO
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CLO
2 - 3
HAV
38%
25%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BSV
3 - 0
CLO
26%
22%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Bavenstedt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BAV
2 - 1
BUC
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 12 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
BAV
4 - 3
RAE
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
OSN
1 - 1
BAV
47%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
BAV
3 - 2
VFL
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
BSV
4 - 1
BAV
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 54 | 28 | 0 |