Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-2
Cliftonville vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
TNS
1 - 1
CLI
65%
19%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
LIS
4 - 3
CLI
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
CLI
3 - 0
CRU
30%
26%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
CLI
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
POR
0 - 1
CLI
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
TNS
1 - 1
CLI
65%
19%
16%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
LLA
3 - 4
TNS
53%
22%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 0
TNS
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
TNS
3 - 1
LLA
56%
22%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
TNS
2 - 3
NEA
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |