Cliftonville vs Newry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
8º
3º
17
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
DUN
1 - 0
CLI
14%
18%
67%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
LAR
2 - 1
CLI
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
CLI
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
CLI
0 - 1
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 1
CLI
21%
24%
56%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Newry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 2
NEW
51%
22%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 3
LIN
13%
22%
65%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 2
LAR
14%
24%
63%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
LOU
3 - 1
NEW
70%
19%
12%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
COL
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |