Cliftonville vs Loughgall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 0
ARD
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
CLI
1 - 2
BAL
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 1
CLI
12%
21%
68%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
LIN
0 - 1
CLI
49%
24%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CLI
3 - 1
CRU
35%
24%
41%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Loughgall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2018 |
LOU
3 - 1
HAR
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
LOU
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
LOU
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 2
LOU
86%
10%
4%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LOU
1 - 1
NEW
35%
25%
40%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |