Cliftonville vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 2
CLI
19%
24%
58%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
CLI
1 - 2
DUN
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
GLE
3 - 2
CLI
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
CLI
2 - 0
GLE
52%
24%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ARD
2 - 2
CLI
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 2
LIS
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LAR
6 - 1
LIS
86%
10%
4%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 4
INS
10%
17%
73%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
LIS
0 - 4
LCE
10%
17%
73%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
DER
1 - 1
LIS
81%
13%
6%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | +1 |