Cliftonville vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
COL
3 - 2
CLI
43%
26%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2010 |
CLI
2 - 1
CRU
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
CLI
3 - 1
LIN
32%
27%
42%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CLI
0 - 2
GLE
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
DUN
0 - 1
CLI
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2010 |
NEW
2 - 1
LIS
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
GLE
1 - 1
LIS
42%
25%
33%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 4
LIN
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
CLI
1 - 3
LIS
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LIS
0 - 3
COL
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |