Cliftonville vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
CLI
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
CLI
26%
25%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
4 - 2
GLE
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LAR
6 - 1
GLE
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAR
4 - 1
NEY
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
LAR
20%
26%
54%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |