Cliftonville vs Larne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
2º
8º
3º
80
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cliftonville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CLI
2 - 0
LAR
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LOU
2 - 3
CLI
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
CLI
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
CLI
26%
25%
50%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
CLI
0 - 3
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Larne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
CLI
2 - 0
LAR
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
LAR
6 - 1
GLE
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
LAR
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAR
4 - 1
NEY
76%
16%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LAR
3 - 0
GLE
46%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |